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行业透视 | 地价回归合理水平,二线城市迎来拿地良机

2019-03-17     牛牛财经   来源:和讯名家
文章摘要:  导 读  与2018年下半年相比,一二线城市的核心地块热度明显回温,溢价率明显升高。  ◎ 研究员 /马千里、邱娟  阳春三月,地市虽然没有迎来成交量的大幅井喷,但就房企参与土拍热情来看,的确比2018年四季度有所改观,高溢价地块成交数量增加之势….

  导daodu

  与yu2018年nianxiabannianxiangbi,一yier线xianchengshidehexindikuairedumingxianhuiwen,溢yijialvmingxianshenggao

  ◎  研yanjiuyuan / 马maqianli、邱qiujuan

  阳yangchunsanyue,地dishisuiranmeiyouyinglaichengjiaoliangdedafujingpen,但danjiufangqicanyutupaireqinglaikan,的dequebi2018年niansijiduyousuogaiguan,高gaoyijiadikuaichengjiaoshuliangzengjiazhishishifenmingxian。据juCRIC统tongji,各genengjichengshiyijialvjunyousuoshangyang,尤youqishier线xianchengshibufendikuaiyijialvmingxianshangsheng,考kaolvdaoxindaizhengceyousuofangsong,房fangqixianjinliuxiangduikuanyu,土tudishichangchengxianchuxinxinxiangrongzhishi。为weihuanyuanzuizhenshidetudishichang,本benwenyizhongdianyier线xianchengshiweiyanjiuduixiang,对dui2019年niankainianyilaidishichengjiaoqingkuang、高gaoyijiadikuaijinxingshenrutansuo,以yiqiweigedafangqixinzengtuchutigongcankao

  01

  中zhong西xibu、京jingjinji、长changsanjiaoquyuhuoyuedujiaogao

  供gongdibuzu使shideyuegangaoxiaoyinghuanweixianxian

  截jiezhi3月yue13日ri,通tongguodui2019年nianyier线xianchengshitudichengjiaodejinqianzongtudijinxingtongjifenxi,结jieguofaxian:土tudichengjiaojizhongzaizhong西xibu、京jingjinjihechangsanjiaoquyudeer线xianchengshi,地dikuaichengjiaoshuliangzuiduodechengshiweizhengzhou(楼loupan),高gaoda81块kuai,半banshuyishangtudi(46宗zong)位weiyuxinzhengshi,主zhuyaoshixinzhengxinquguihualihaodailaidedaguimojianshesuozhi,其qicishikunming(楼loupan)、青qingdao(楼loupan)、重zhongqing(楼loupan)、成chengdu、石shijiazhuang(楼loupan)、天tianjin(楼loupan)等deng,成chengjiaoshuliangjiejin50宗zonghuozaiqiyishang,居juyudiertidui;而erhangzhou(楼loupan)、西xian(楼loupan)、贵guiyang、济jinan(楼loupan)、南nanning、海haikou、上shanghai(楼loupan)、太taiyuan(楼loupan)等dengchengshizejuyudisantidui,成chengjiaozongshushuliangzai30宗zongyishang,深shenzhen(楼loupan)、厦xiamen(楼loupan)、大dalian(楼loupan)、合hefei(楼loupan)、广guangzhou(楼loupan)等dengchengshitudishichangzeshifenlengqing,成chengjiaozongdishuliangbuzu10宗zong。而errediandeyuegangaodawanqu,由youyu广guangzhou、深shenzhendengchengshitudigongyingyouxian,热reduhuanweixianxian

  02

  二er线xiandishi“回huinuan”最zuixianzhu

  南nanning、昆kunmingdengchengshigaoyijiadikuaishuliangjuyuqianlie

  土tudiyijialvzhongjieliaochangjiulaikandediweipaihuai,在zai2019年nianmingxianyinglaihuisheng,由you2018年niandidelishidiwei9.4%升shengzhi2019年nian2月yuede12.2%,这zhezhongdiweihuishengqushizaier线xianchengshibiaoxianzuiweituchu,2月yueshengzhi13.4%,环huanbizengjia3.3个gebaifendian,是shisangenengjichengshizhongyijialvzhangfuzuigaode。究jiuqiyuanyin,主zhuyaoshisuzhou(楼loupan)、福fuzhou(楼loupan)等dengredianer线xianchengshichengjiaoliaoduozongyouzhidikuai,其qizhongsuzhouyousanzongdideyijialvduzai30%以yishang,推tuigaoliaoer线xianchengshideyijialv。流liupaiqingkuangyemingxianhaozhuan,尤youqishi2月yuefen,流liupailvjinyou1.66%,较jiao2018年niandiji2019年nian1月yueyoumingxianhaozhuan,但danshihuanshigaoyu2017年niandiji2018年nianshangbanniandeliupailv

  从congdianxingyier线xianchengshigaoyijiadikuai(溢yijialvgaoyu30%)的dezhanbilaikan,约yue10%的detudishigaoyijiadikuai,71%的detudishilingyijiachengjiao,处chuyujiaodiyijialv(0-10%)的detudiyezhandao10%。总zongdelaikan,目muqianyier线xianchengshitudichengjiaodeyijialvshuipingchuyujiaodiwei

  就jiuchengshifenbulaikan,高gaoyijiachengjiaodikuaifenbuzuiduodechengshishinanning,有you11宗zongdikuaichengjiaoyijialvchaoguo30%,然ranhoushikunming、南nanchang(楼loupan)、杭hangzhou、西xian、重zhongqing、天tianjin、海haikou、宁ningbo(楼loupan)等deng,成chengjiaodegaoyijiadikuaishuliangjunchao5幅fu,这zhexiechengshijunweier线xianchengshi;相xiangbizhixia,一yi线xianchengshigaoyijiadikuaimingxianjiaoshao,北beijing(楼loupan)有you4幅fu,上shanghaihe广guangzhoujunzhiyou1幅fu,深shenzhenzemeiyougaoyijiadikuaichengjiao。总zongdelaikan,受shouyi线xianchengshitudigongyingyouxian、三sansi线xianchengshizeshoushichangzouleng、土tudishichangguiyuchenjideyingxiang,二er线xianchengshizhujianchengweitudishichangdezhuzhanchang,房fangqijingxiangjiaoweijilie,进jinyibuyoutuigaoliaotudiyijialvshuiping

  另lingwai,就jiuzhexiechengshichengjiaodegaoyijiadikuaidetudishuxinglaikan,依yiranshichunzhaidijuyushouwei,占zhandaogaoyijiadikuaide42%,其qicishishangzhudi,占zhandao34%,商shangbandizezhiyou2成cheng,而erchengjiaodegaoyijiazonghedikuaijinyou4幅fu。总zongdelaikan,纯chunzhaidiyiranshigefangqijingxiangzhuizhudetudileixing,容rongyituigaoyijialv,并bingqieconggaoyijiadikuaichengjiaojiagepaixingbanglaikan,TOP20中zhongjiuyou11幅fuweichunzhuzhaiyongdi。就jiudanchengshikan,南nanning、西xian、天tianjin、宁ningbodengchengshigaoyijiadikuaiduoweishangzhu,南nanchang、海haikou、郑zhengzhousanchengdegaoyijiadikuaiduoweichunzhuzhaiyongdi

  03

  核hexindikuaixiangjirushishoufangqirepeng

  进jinyibutuigaoyijia

  与yu2018年nianxiabannianxiangbi,一yier线xianchengshidehexindikuairedumingxianhuiwen,溢yijialvmingxianshenggao,尤youqishizaihangzhou、北beijing、郑zhengzhoudengchengshidebufendikuaiyouyuquyuweizhijiaohao,加jiazhier线xianchengshishichanghuinuandeyingxiang,大dadatishengliaofangqidetouziyuqi,纷fenfenjiarutupaizhenying。以yiningboyinzhouqu06-03-02#(东dongqianhu)住zhuzhaidikuaiweili,该gaidikuailijing226轮lunjingjia,最zuizhongjindiyi16.11亿yiyuandezongjiajingdenaxia,溢yijialv57.6%,平pingjunloubanjia13020元yuan/平pingfangmi。3月yue14日riningboyinzhouquyouchurangyizongzhaidi,最zuizhonggaidikuaibeiningboaokesizhiyeyouxiangongsiyirongduanjia20750元yuan/建jianzhupingmi(8.14亿yiyuan)加jia1600平pingmipeitaoyongfangmianjijingde。种zhongzhongjixiangbiaominger线xianchengshitupairedumingxianshengwen。当dangranzhezhongxianxiangbingfeigeli,苏suzhou2月yue22日riyinglaichunjiehoushoupai,共gongyou5宗zongzhuzhaidikuailianxujingpaichurang,融rongxin、中zhongjun、佳jiazhaoye、中zhongliang、大dahuajituandengqiyefenfenjingde,5宗zongdikuaizonglanjin97.44亿yiyuan。其qizhongchengjiaojiazuigaodegaoxinqushishanjiedaochangjiangludong、竹zhuyuanlubeidikuaijingguo40轮lundejingjia,最zuizhongbeidahua(集jituan)有youxiangongsizhanhuo。地dikuaizongchengjiaojiayuewei40.71亿yiyuan,溢yijia32.14%。

  值zhidezhuyideshi,北beijingsanfugongyouchanquantudiyijialvyeshengzhigaowei,均junjiejin40%,打dapoliaobeijingyiwanggongyouchanquanfangdaduoweilingyijiachengjiaodetedian,其qizhongliangfuweiyutongzhouqu,很hendachengdushangshiyouyubeijingshizhengfuzhengshiqianwangtongzhoudailaidelihaoxiaoying;加jiazhijudadejiageyoushijinyibutigaoliaogangxukequndejieshoudu,房fangqiyeshikanzhongzheyidian,纷fenfenjiarutupai,溢yijialvyesuizhishuizhangchuangao

  04

  地dijiahuiguihelishuiping

  二er线xianchengshiyinglainadiliangji

  总zongdelaikan,进jinru2019年nianer线xianchengshitudiliupailvmingxianxiahua,溢yijialvyeyousuoshangsheng,尤youqijinrusanyuefen,土tudishichangshengwengengweimingxian,高gaoyijialvdikuaicengchubuqiong。从conggaoyijiadikuaizhanbiqingkuanglaikan,较jiao2018年niansijiduyeyoumingxianzengjia。究jiuqiyuanyin,主zhuyaoshiyouer线xianchengshiloushixiaofufusu,加jiazhiqiyejingneifazhaizongliangshangshengqierongzichengbenhuiluo、房fangqirongzihuanjing“回huinuan”,资zijinjiaoweichongyu,纷fenfenjiaruxiayilunde“抢qiangliangdazhan”。加jiazhizhexiechurangdikuaidijiadiyuyuqi,多duoshuqiyebaozhuozhizaibidedetaiducanyujingpai,最zuizhong使shideyijialvmingxianshangyang

  南nanjing(楼loupan)近jinqiguapaideliangfuhanzhaiyongdijishidianxingdelizi,起qipailoubanjiamingxiandiyuzhoubiantongleidikuaichengjiaojia,以yi西xishanqiaoG02地dikuaiweili,起qipailoubanjia13237元yuan/平pingfangmi,周zhoubiantongleixiangmushoujiazai3.5-3.9万wanyuanzuoyou,即ji使shianzhaozuigaoloumianxianjia19172元yuan/平pingfangmichengjiao,盈yinglikongjianyeshifenjuda。在zaidangqiandijiahuiguibijiaohelishuipingdejumianxia,不bushiweinadiliangji

  从congdangqiantudigongyingqingkuanglaikan,三sanyuedidagailvjiangyinglaiyibojizhonggongyingchao,在zaidijiajiaoweiheli、楼loushipinxian“回huinuan”迹jixiangdedangqian,抓zhuazhujihuiqiangduoyouzhidikuaishidangwuzhiji。尤youqirenkou、产chanyezhichengnenglijiaoqiangdechengshikezhongdiankaolv,譬piruhangzhou、西xian、郑zhengzhoudengrenkouliurujiaoduodechengshi;而ernaxiemuqiangongqiuguanxipingheng、房fangjiayijingguodutouzhidechengshi,虽suirancunzaiyidingdetouzijihui,但danzhegeshihounadidetouzihuibaolvyehuimingxianxiahua,建jianyirengxujinshenchuzhi

benwenshoufayuweixingongzhonghao:克keerruidichanyanjiu。文wenzhangneirongshuzuozhegerenguandian,不budaibiaohexunwanglichang。投touzizhejucicaozuo,风fengxianqingzidan

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